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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
42.93% ( 0.09) | 25.36% ( 0.03) | 31.71% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 55.3% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.68% ( -0.18) | 48.33% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.53% ( -0.16) | 70.47% ( 0.17) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.56% ( -0.03) | 22.45% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.02% ( -0.05) | 55.98% ( 0.05) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.31% ( -0.16) | 28.7% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.48% ( -0.21) | 64.52% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 42.93% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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