MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 19:19:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Excelsior

Sittard
5 - 2
Excelsior

Lonwijk (13'), Sierhuis (15', 29', 34'), Guth (68')
Lonwijk (2'), Pinto (62')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Sanches Fernandes (61'), Omorowa (82')
Baas (36'), Zagre (58'), Uddenas (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 1-2 Vitesse
Sunday, February 25 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Fortuna Sittard 2-1 SBV Excelsior

Clean sheets have been few and far between for both teams, so we expect an entertaining affair here with the home side just about coming out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.

Result
Fortuna SittardDrawSBV Excelsior
52.11% (0.29 0.29) 22.56% (-0.183 -0.18) 25.33% (-0.105 -0.11)
Both teams to score 60.26% (0.534 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.27% (0.757 0.76)39.73% (-0.755 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.92% (0.782 0.78)62.08% (-0.77999999999999 -0.78)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.64% (0.36999999999999 0.37)15.36% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.86% (0.688 0.69)44.14% (-0.687 -0.69)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (0.322 0.32)28.81% (-0.321 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35% (0.4 0.4)64.66% (-0.398 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Sittard 52.11%
    SBV Excelsior 25.33%
    Draw 22.56%
Fortuna SittardDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 8.29% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.03% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.76% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.071 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.059 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 52.11%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.052 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.51% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 25.33%

How you voted: Sittard vs Excelsior

Fortuna Sittard
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
SBV Excelsior
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Excelsior
2-2
Sittard
Agrafiotis (30'), Uddenas (73')
Baas (76')
Duarte (68'), Menaour Belkheir (78')
Dijks (26'), Guth (64'), Buijs (90+4')
May 21, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
Excelsior
3-0
Sittard
Pierie (59'), Driouech (73'), Goudmijn (85')
Azarkan (49')

Embalo (55'), Cox (58')
Sep 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Sittard
1-0
Excelsior
Vita (87')
Feb 10, 2019 11.15am
Gameweek 21
Sittard
4-1
Excelsior
Lamprou (13', 33'), Diemers (64'), Novakovich (90')
Ciranni (77'), Rodriguez (94')
Messaoud (55')
Fortes (25'), Oude Kotte (32')
Aug 11, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Excelsior
1-1
Sittard
Mattheij (32')
Koolwijk (22'), Schouten (79'), Mattheij (93')
Bruins (57')
Smeets (53')
Heerings (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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