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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.95%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
30.01% ( -0.03) | 21.56% ( 0.64) | 48.43% ( -0.61) |
Both teams to score 68.13% ( -2.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.87% ( -3.24) | 31.12% ( 3.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.47% ( -3.93) | 52.53% ( 3.93) |
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.74% ( -1.64) | 21.26% ( 1.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.83% ( -2.61) | 54.17% ( 2.6) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.52% ( -1.36) | 13.48% ( 1.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.51% ( -2.79) | 40.49% ( 2.79) |
Score Analysis |
SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.56) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.1) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.01% | 1-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.72) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.49) 3-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.56% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.46) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.72) 2-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.33) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 2.98% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.3) 0-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.16) 3-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.22) 2-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.1% Total : 48.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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