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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Toulouse

PSG
vs.
Toulouse

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Montpellier
Friday, May 3 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We say: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Toulouse

Neither PSG nor Toulouse need over-exert themselves in a match where only pride is on the line, but Enrique's men are still searching for the formula for defensive success at home, while Les Violets have made a habit of shining on the road of late. Martinez's men are actually the second-best performing Ligue 1 team away from home in 2024 behind PSG, but Nicolaisen's ban is a significant blow, and on this occasion, we have faith in Les Parisiens to finally put some of their chances away en route to a recovery win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.45%. A draw has a probability of 17.7% and a win for Toulouse has a probability of 14.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.05%) and 3-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Toulouse win it is 1-2 (4.17%).

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawToulouse
67.45% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 17.72% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 14.83% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.45% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.52% (-0.065999999999988 -0.07)32.48% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.88% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)54.12% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.12% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)8.87% (0.0259 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.63% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)30.37% (0.064 0.06)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.24% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)34.76% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.51% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)71.49% (0.02300000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 67.45%
    Toulouse 14.83%
    Draw 17.72%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 4.67% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.26% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.2% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 67.45%
1-1 @ 7.9% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05%
0-0 @ 3.08% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 17.72%
1-2 @ 4.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 3.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.72% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.47% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 14.83%

Who will win Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between PSG and Toulouse?

Paris Saint-Germain
Draw
Toulouse
Paris Saint-Germain
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Toulouse
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2024 7.45pm
Final
PSG
2-0
Toulouse
Kang-in (3'), Mbappe (44')
Vitinha (46'), Hernandez (77')

Suazo (45+1')
Aug 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 2
Toulouse
1-1
PSG
Aboukhlal (87' pen.)
Mbappe (62' pen.)
Kang-in (45+1'), Ugarte (81'), Donnarumma (85')
Feb 4, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 22
PSG
2-1
Toulouse
Hakimi (38'), Messi (58')
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Toulouse
0-3
PSG

Ratao (64')
Neymar (37'), Mbappe (50'), Bernat (90')
May 9, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 36
Toulouse
P-P
PSG
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest331610750341658
4Lille321510748311755
5Nice32159837251254
6Lens32147114234849
7Lyon32145134654-847
8Rennes32129115143845
9Marseille31111194738944
10Reims32118133946-741
11Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
12Toulouse321010123942-340
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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