Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 75.53%. A draw has a probability of 14.5% and a win for Arouca has a probability of 9.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.54%), while for an Arouca win it is 1-2 (2.97%).
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Arouca |
75.53% ( -0.21) | 14.53% ( 0.09) | 9.93% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 55.75% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.3% ( -0.05) | 29.7% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.17% ( -0.06) | 50.83% ( 0.07) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.45% ( -0.05) | 6.56% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.58% ( -0.14) | 24.42% ( 0.14) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.67% ( 0.2) | 40.34% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.04% ( 0.18) | 76.96% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Arouca |
2-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 8.1% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.5% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 4.27% Total : 75.53% | 1-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 14.53% | 1-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 9.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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