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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Roma logo

Atalanta
2 - 1
Roma

De Ketelaere (18', 20')
Piero Gasperini (43'), Koopmeiners (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pellegrini (66' pen.)
N'Dicka (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Roma
Thursday, May 9 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Atalanta BC 0-0 Roma

Atalanta often falter against other teams in Serie A's top six, while Roma are rarely at their best away from home. Following intense Europa League semi-finals, both will also be weary, so this crucial contest could end in a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Roma had a probability of 21.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
55.32% (-0.323 -0.32) 23.33% (0.119 0.12) 21.35% (0.206 0.21)
Both teams to score 52.7% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (-0.249 -0.25)47.43% (0.251 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36% (-0.231 -0.23)69.64% (0.233 0.23)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (-0.20399999999999 -0.2)17% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.89% (-0.364 -0.36)47.12% (0.366 0.37)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.49% (0.063000000000002 0.06)36.51% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.71% (0.064 0.06)73.29% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 55.32%
    Roma 21.35%
    Draw 23.33%
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
1-0 @ 10.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.8% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.76% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 55.32%
1-1 @ 11.08% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.076 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 21.35%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Roma

Atalanta BC
57.5%
Draw
29.2%
Roma
13.3%
120
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Dybala (39' pen.)
Mourinho (45+7'), Kristensen (63')
Mourinho (90+4')
Koopmeiners (8')
Scalvini (29'), Ruggeri (37'), Ederson (43'), Koopmeiners (55'), Zappacosta (74'), Holm (90')
Apr 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Atalanta
3-1
Roma
Pasalic (39'), Toloi (74'), Koopmeiners (84')
Sep 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 7
Roma
0-1
Atalanta
Scalvini (35')
Mar 5, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 28
Roma
1-0
Atalanta
Abraham (32')
Cristante (9'), Abraham (20'), Mkhitaryan (66'), Kumbulla (69'), Ibanez (85')
Mkhitaryan (90+6')

Malinovskyi (78'), Demiral (86'), de Roon (90+4')
de Roon (90+4')
Dec 18, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 18
Atalanta
1-4
Roma
Cristante (45+1' og.)
de Roon (8')
Abraham (1', 82'), Zaniolo (27'), Smalling (72')
Zaniolo (9'), Ibanez (50'), Mancini (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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