Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Roma had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Roma |
49.01% ( 0.96) | 24.19% ( -0.33) | 26.79% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 56.08% ( 0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.11% ( 0.96) | 45.88% ( -0.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.8% ( 0.9) | 68.19% ( -0.91) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.2% ( 0.77) | 18.8% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.78% ( 1.27) | 50.21% ( -1.28) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.06% ( 0.01) | 30.93% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.76% ( 0.01) | 67.23% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.27% Total : 49.01% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.91% Total : 26.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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