Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 70.34%. A draw has a probability of 17.9% and a win for Alaves has a probability of 11.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.49%), while for an Alaves win it is 0-1 (3.76%).
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Alaves |
70.34% ( -1.98) | 17.89% ( 0.9) | 11.77% ( 1.07) |
Both teams to score 49.38% ( 0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.01% ( -1.23) | 40.99% ( 1.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.62% ( -1.27) | 63.38% ( 1.27) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.54% ( -0.82) | 10.45% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.94% ( -1.87) | 34.06% ( 1.86) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.15% ( 1.1) | 44.85% ( -1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.19% ( 0.86) | 80.81% ( -0.87) |
Score Analysis |
Real Madrid | Draw | Alaves |
2-0 @ 11.95% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 9% ( -0.45) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.45) 4-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.29) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.19% Total : 70.33% | 1-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.43) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.87% Total : 17.89% | 0-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.16% Total : 11.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |