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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
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Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Lille

Nantes
vs.
Lille

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 0-0 Nantes
Saturday, May 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 3-4 Lyon
Monday, May 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We say: Nantes 0-2 Lille

Lille's powers of recovery after suffering a defeat have been a cornerstone of their success this season, while Nantes cannot buy a point let alone a win at home and do not strike fear into the hearts of opposing defences. The hosts' rearguard action against Brest was admirable, and Fonseca's attacking ranks have been decimated over the past week, but the visitors should still find a way through to all but confirm their Champions League status. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lille win with a probability of 59.74%. A draw has a probability of 22.2% and a win for Nantes has a probability of 18.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Nantes win it is 1-0 (5.67%).

Result
NantesDrawLille
18.01% (0.087 0.09) 22.25% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 59.74% (-0.155 -0.16)
Both teams to score 50.65% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59% (-0.168 -0.17)47.42% (0.171 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (-0.154 -0.15)69.63% (0.158 0.16)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.08% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.28% (0.00099999999999767 0)76.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.53% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)15.48% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.65% (-0.201 -0.2)44.35% (0.205 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 18.01%
    Lille 59.73%
    Draw 22.25%
NantesDrawLille
1-0 @ 5.67% (0.041 0.04)
2-1 @ 4.84% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.59% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 18.01%
1-1 @ 10.58% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.25%
0-1 @ 11.57% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.72% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.14% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 3.13% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.87% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.17% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 59.73%

Who will win Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lille?

Nantes
Draw
Lille
Nantes
0.0%
Draw
33.3%
Lille
66.7%
3
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 2
Lille
2-0
Nantes
David (66'), Ounas (90+4')
Alexsandro (78')

Pallois (32'), Castelletto (47')
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Lille
2-1
Nantes
David (51' pen., 88' pen.)
Balepa (44'), David (89')
Merlin (17')
Castelletto (36'), Victor (79'), Mohamed (86'), Blas (87')
Aug 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
Nantes
1-1
Lille
Simon (28')
Girotto (90')
Ismaily (76')
Zedadka (14'), Djalo (18'), Fonte (18'), Andre (37')
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 29
Nantes
0-1
Lille

Moutoussamy (53'), Blas (81'), Da Silva (86')
Onana (41')
Xeka (15'), Andre (64'), Bamba (79'), Bradaric (86')
Weah (64')
Nov 27, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 15
Lille
1-1
Nantes
Yilmaz (9')
Onana (62')
Blas (24')
Girotto (21'), Blas (48')
Da Silva (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest331610750341658
4Lille321510748311755
5Nice32159837251254
6Lens32147114234849
7Lyon32145134654-847
8Rennes32129115143845
9Marseille31111194738944
10Reims32118133946-741
11Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
12Toulouse321010123942-340
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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