Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 51.76%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Rennes |
24.25% ( 0.72) | 23.98% ( 0.45) | 51.76% ( -1.17) |
Both teams to score 54.26% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.87% ( -1.26) | 47.12% ( 1.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.64% ( -1.18) | 69.36% ( 1.18) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.33% ( -0.06) | 33.67% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.68% ( -0.07) | 70.32% ( 0.07) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.8% ( -0.91) | 18.2% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.79% ( -1.57) | 49.2% ( 1.57) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.29% Total : 24.25% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.98% | 0-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.5% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.44% Total : 51.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |