Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
Result | ||
Le Havre | Draw | Nantes |
39.53% ( 0.04) | 27.64% ( -0.02) | 32.84% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.52% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.81% ( 0.09) | 57.19% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.96% ( 0.07) | 78.05% ( -0.06) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% ( 0.07) | 28.23% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.06% ( 0.08) | 63.94% ( -0.08) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.6% ( 0.04) | 32.4% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.08% ( 0.04) | 68.92% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Le Havre | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.52% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |