We say: Manchester United 1-3 Arsenal
Fundamental cogs returning to bolster the Man United attack spells danger for an Gunners backline fortunate to emerge unscathed from their battle with Bournemouth, but it is not the Arsenal rearguard who ought to be under the cosh this weekend.
Still conceding shots and goals at an increasingly worrying rate, an injury-riddled Man United crop are at risk of being picked off by their free-scoring foes, who should rise to the Old Trafford occasion and keep Man City on their toes for now.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 50.9%. A win for Manchester United has a probability of 27.65% and a draw has a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (6.3%) and 1-3 (6.21%). The likeliest Manchester United win is 2-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.05%).