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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
53.73% ( 0.14) | 22.22% | 24.04% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 59.99% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.56% ( -0.14) | 39.43% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.22% ( -0.15) | 61.78% ( 0.14) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.28% ( -0.01) | 14.71% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.09% ( -0.01) | 42.91% ( 0.01) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.34% ( -0.19) | 29.66% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.29% ( -0.23) | 65.71% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 53.73% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 24.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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