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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 61.14%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 19.61% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.56%) and 3-1 (7.31%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (5.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
61.14% ( -1.09) | 19.24% ( 0.21) | 19.61% ( 0.88) |
Both teams to score 64.39% ( 0.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.16% ( 0.4) | 30.83% ( -0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.81% ( 0.47) | 52.19% ( -0.47) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.13% ( -0.14) | 9.87% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.26% ( -0.34) | 32.73% ( 0.34) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.44% ( 1.08) | 28.56% ( -1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.65% ( 1.33) | 64.34% ( -1.33) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.75% Total : 61.15% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.39% Total : 19.24% | 1-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.19% Total : 19.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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