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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.66%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | Heerenveen |
24.52% ( -0.11) | 22.82% ( -0.07) | 52.66% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 58.46% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.29% ( 0.25) | 41.71% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.89% ( 0.25) | 64.11% ( -0.25) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.49% ( 0.05) | 30.51% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.27% ( 0.06) | 66.73% ( -0.05) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.12% ( 0.15) | 15.88% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.9% ( 0.28) | 45.1% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 24.52% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.82% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.97% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.03% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.55% Total : 52.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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