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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 72.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 10.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 0-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | FC Volendam |
72.97% ( 0.09) | 16.53% ( -0.2) | 10.5% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 49.78% ( 1.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.84% ( 1.31) | 38.15% ( -1.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.57% ( 1.38) | 60.43% ( -1.38) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.92% ( 0.35) | 9.08% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.13% ( 0.83) | 30.86% ( -0.84) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.75% ( 1.09) | 45.24% ( -1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.87% ( 0.85) | 81.13% ( -0.85) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.36) 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.45) 3-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.14) 5-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.11) 6-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.07% Total : 72.97% | 1-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.89% Total : 16.53% | 0-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.87% Total : 10.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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