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AZ Alkmaar
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Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
AZ Alkmaar

Sparta
1 - 1
AZ

FT(HT: 0-1)
Sugawara (25')
Clasie (38'), Belic (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 2-0 Sparta
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-0 Ajax
Sunday, February 25 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

Sparta have struggled for goals of late, but we can see them finding the back of the net here. That said, we are backing AZ Alkmaar to come away with maximum points at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawAZ Alkmaar
32.15% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1) 24.56% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 43.28% (0.115 0.12)
Both teams to score 58.22% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.4% (0.050000000000004 0.05)44.6% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.03% (0.048999999999999 0.05)66.97% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.42% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)26.58% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.2% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)61.8% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (0.070999999999998 0.07)20.7% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.69% (0.115 0.12)53.31% (-0.12 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 32.15%
    AZ Alkmaar 43.28%
    Draw 24.56%
Sparta RotterdamDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.83% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.15%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.82% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.75% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.58% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 43.28%

How you voted: Sparta vs AZ

Sparta Rotterdam
8.3%
Draw
8.3%
AZ Alkmaar
83.3%
24
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 5
AZ
2-0
Sparta
De Wit (18'), Pavlidis (19')

Verschueren (38'), Bakari (43'), van der Kust (81')
Apr 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 28
AZ
0-1
Sparta
Lauritsen (45+1')
Aug 14, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 2
Sparta
2-3
AZ
Van Crooij (1', 59')
Verschueren (36'), van Crooij (38'), Steijn (90+1')
Pavlidis (45+1' pen.), De Wit (57'), Milos (65')
Martins Indi (38'), de Wit (38')
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 28
Sparta
1-1
AZ
Van Crooij (90+3')
Pavlidis (48')
Dec 5, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 14
AZ
3-1
Sparta
Karlsson (27' pen., 31'), Pavlidis (58')
Pavlidis (45')
Auassar (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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