Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw has a probability of 22% and a win for Osasuna has a probability of 17.28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Osasuna win it is 0-1 (5.54%).
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
60.74% ( 0.06) | 21.98% ( -0.03) | 17.28% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.11% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.59% ( 0.08) | 47.41% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.37% ( 0.07) | 69.63% ( -0.08) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.85% ( 0.05) | 15.14% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.27% ( 0.09) | 43.73% ( -0.09) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.06% ( 0.01) | 40.94% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.5% ( 0.01) | 77.5% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 60.73% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 21.97% | 0-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 17.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
9 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |