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Champions League header

Champions League
Dortmund logo
Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Atletico Madrid logo

Dortmund
4 - 2
Atletico

Brandt (34'), Maatsen (39'), Fullkrug (71'), Sabitzer (74')
Ryerson (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hummels (49' og.), Correa (64')
Azpilicueta (30'), Hermoso (45+1')

The Match

Match Report

Borussia Dortmund advance to their first Champions League semi-final since 2013 after beating Atletico Madrid 4-2 in their quarter-final second leg at Signal Iduna Park.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Atletico Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Borussia Dortmund could line up in Tuesday's Champions League clash with Atletico Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Girona
Saturday, April 13 at 1pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawAtletico Madrid
44.56% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 22.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 32.45% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 64.06% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63% (0.024000000000001 0.02)36.99% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.82% (0.024999999999999 0.02)59.18% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92% (0.016999999999996 0.02)17.08% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.73% (0.034999999999997 0.03)47.26% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)22.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.58%56.42% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 44.56%
    Atletico Madrid 32.45%
    Draw 22.98%
Borussia DortmundDrawAtletico Madrid
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 6.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.29% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.92% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.57% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 44.56%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.26% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.38%
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 32.45%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Atletico

Borussia Dortmund
48.6%
Draw
24.0%
Atletico Madrid
27.4%
329
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Atletico
2-1
Dortmund
De Paul (4'), Lino (32')
Lino (27'), Llorente (28'), Gimenez (75')
Haller (81')
Can (24'), Maatsen (53')
> Match Report
Nov 6, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Atletico
2-0
Dortmund
Niguez (33'), Griezmann (80')
Correa (6')

Sancho (31'), Akanji (90'), Reus (90')
Oct 24, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
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Atletico
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Diallo (13'), Zagadou (90')

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