MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 04:44:40| >> :600:115303:115303:
Dortmund logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
PSV

Dortmund
2 - 0
PSV

Sancho (3'), Reus (90+5')
Sule (88'), Nmecha (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

Borussia Dortmund book their spot in the quarter-finals of the Champions League courtesy of a 2-0 victory over PSV Eindhoven in the second leg of their last-16 contest.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.9%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawPSV Eindhoven
30.66% (-0.704 -0.7) 21.46% (0.133 0.13) 47.88% (0.579 0.58)
Both teams to score 68.95% (-0.955 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.77% (-1.071 -1.07)30.23% (1.078 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.53% (-1.298 -1.3)51.47% (1.305 1.31)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (-0.90300000000001 -0.9)20.45% (0.91 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (-1.459 -1.46)52.9% (1.466 1.47)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.67% (-0.208 -0.21)13.33% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.81% (-0.428 -0.43)40.19% (0.437 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 30.66%
    PSV Eindhoven 47.88%
    Draw 21.46%
Borussia DortmundDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 6.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 4.33% (0.143 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-0 @ 3.43% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 30.66%
1-1 @ 8.72% (0.219 0.22)
2-2 @ 6.97% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-0 @ 2.73% (0.163 0.16)
3-3 @ 2.48% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.46%
1-2 @ 8.79% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 5.9% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.53% (0.247 0.25)
0-1 @ 5.49% (0.287 0.29)
2-3 @ 4.68% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.72% (0.138 0.14)
1-4 @ 2.97% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 2.36% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.87% (0.055 0.05)
3-4 @ 1.25% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-5 @ 0.95% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 47.88%

How you voted: Dortmund vs PSV

Borussia Dortmund
70.4%
Draw
18.0%
PSV Eindhoven
11.6%
361
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2024 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
PSV
1-1
Dortmund
De Jong (56' pen.)
Lozano (22')
Malen (24')
Maatsen (42'), Schlotterbeck (45+1')
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
International Friendlies
Dortmund
4-1
PSV
Reus (19'), Kagawa (40'), Schurrle (53'), Pulisic (74')
De Jong (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
2Arsenal36265588286083
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!