Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 44.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 27.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Bologna |
44.25% ( -1.31) | 28.7% ( 0.54) | 27.05% ( 0.78) |
Both teams to score 43.15% ( -0.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.29% ( -1.34) | 62.71% ( 1.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.74% ( -0.98) | 82.26% ( 0.99) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.72% ( -1.32) | 28.28% ( 1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36% ( -1.7) | 64% ( 1.71) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.17% ( -0.08) | 39.83% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.5% ( -0.07) | 76.49% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 14.22% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.61% Total : 44.24% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.69% | 0-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.4% Total : 27.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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