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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lecce logo

Lazio
1 - 0
Lecce

Anderson (58')
Zaccagni (45'), Guendouzi (77'), Vecino (89'), Immobile (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gendrey (45'), Venuti (75'), Ramadani (81'), Pongracic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Roma
Wednesday, January 10 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Cagliari
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-0 Lecce

It is no coincidence that Lazio's improved form has arrived after re-finding last season's defensive steel. As Lecce often lack punch - particularly away from home - the home side should earn some revenge for their opening-day defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.

Result
LazioDrawLecce
58.27% (-0.143 -0.14) 24.87% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 16.85% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 41.26% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.13% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)58.88% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.63% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)79.37% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.81% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)20.19% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.5% (-0.107 -0.11)52.5% (0.107 0.11)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.7% (0.108 0.11)48.3% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.55% (0.081 0.08)83.45% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 58.27%
    Lecce 16.85%
    Draw 24.87%
LazioDrawLecce
1-0 @ 15.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.08%
3-0 @ 6.66% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.66% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 58.27%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.31% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 24.87%
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.13% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 1% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 16.85%

How you voted: Lazio vs Lecce

Lazio
73.3%
Draw
15.6%
Lecce
11.1%
45
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Lecce
2-1
Lazio
Almqvist (85'), Di Francesco (87')
Espeto (68'), Gonzalez (80'), Pongracic (80')
Immobile (26')
Isaksen (71'), Pellegrini (90+4')
May 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Lazio
2-2
Lecce
Immobile (34'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+4')
Oudin (45+2', 51')
Jan 4, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 16
Lecce
2-1
Lazio
Espeto (57'), Colombo (71')
Immobile (14')
Jul 7, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Lecce
2-1
Lazio
Nov 10, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 12
Lazio
4-2
Lecce
Correa (30', 80'), Milinkovic-Savic (62'), Immobile (77' pen.)
Leiva (34'), Immobile (67')
Lapadula (40'), La Mantia (85')
Mancosu (4'), Lapadula (59'), Lucioni (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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