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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Bologna logo

Lecce
1 - 1
Bologna

Piccoli (90+10' pen.)
Ramadani (45'), Pongracic (84'), Sansone (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lykogiannis (68')
Saelemaekers (50'), Calafiori (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-2 Lecce
Monday, November 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Torino
Monday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Bologna

It will be intriguing to see if Bologna can maintain this fantastic start which has them in the running for the top four, but they are still yet to win away from home this season. Over two-thirds of Lecce's points have come at home, and the likes of Milan and Lazio have been unable to win here, so another Bologna away draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
LecceDrawBologna
41.59% (2.343 2.34) 26.97% (0.98 0.98) 31.44% (-3.318 -3.32)
Both teams to score 50.1% (-3.998 -4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.01% (-4.713 -4.71)54.99% (4.717 4.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.74% (-4.035 -4.04)76.26% (4.04 4.04)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93% (-0.90599999999999 -0.91)26.07% (0.91 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.88% (-1.234 -1.23)61.12% (1.239 1.24)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (-4.52 -4.52)32.24% (4.525 4.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.26% (-5.45 -5.45)68.74% (5.454 5.45)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 41.59%
    Bologna 31.44%
    Draw 26.97%
LecceDrawBologna
1-0 @ 11.3% (1.676 1.68)
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.6% (0.956 0.96)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.4% (0.35 0.35)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.333 -0.33)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 41.59%
1-1 @ 12.79% (0.45 0.45)
0-0 @ 8.41% (1.432 1.43)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.599 -0.6)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 9.51% (0.566 0.57)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.682 -0.68)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.357 -0.36)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.657 -0.66)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.424 -0.42)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.501 -0.5)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.44%

How you voted: Lecce vs Bologna

Lecce
9.4%
Draw
46.9%
Bologna
43.8%
32
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Lecce
2-3
Bologna
Banda (17'), Oudin (88')
Gallo (68')
Arnautovic (58'), Zirkzee (81'), Ferguson (90+7')
Posch (35'), Aebischer (84'), Zirkzee (90+7')
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 11
Bologna
2-0
Lecce
Arnautovic (13' pen.), Ferguson (34')
Jul 26, 2020 4.15pm
Gameweek 36
Bologna
3-2
Lecce
Palacio (2'), Soriano (5'), Barrow (90+3')
Palacio (43')
Mancosu (45+2')
Dec 22, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 17
Lecce
2-3
Bologna
Babacar (85'), Farias (91')
Tachtsidis (41'), Babacar (53'), Calderoni (89')
Orsolini (43', 66'), Soriano (56')
Medel (41'), M'baye (44'), Schouten (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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