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Serie A
Lecce logo
Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Sassuolo logo

Lecce
1 - 1
Sassuolo

Krstovic (48')
Rafia (44'), Krstovic (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Berardi (22' pen.)
Boloca (1'), Holmgren Pedersen (43'), Marco Ferrari (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 0-4 Napoli
Saturday, September 30 at 2pm in Serie A

Sassuolo

All competitions
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-1 Monza
Monday, October 2 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-2 Sassuolo

 Sassuolo have never lost to Lecce in six previous meetings - winning on three occasions, including completing the double last season with two 1-0 wins. While it is never quite clear what Sassuolo will show up, Lecce may be reeling from two quick-fire defeats last week and could struggle to maintain their position near the top, making the visitors slight favourites to keep up their fine run in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawSassuolo
43.4% (-0.219 -0.22) 24.68% (0.074000000000002 0.07) 31.91% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 57.71% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.77% (-0.286 -0.29)45.22% (0.282 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.43% (-0.274 -0.27)67.57% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (-0.218 -0.22)20.91% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.36% (-0.343 -0.34)53.63% (0.338 0.34)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (-0.050000000000011 -0.05)27.04% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)62.4% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 43.4%
    Sassuolo 31.91%
    Draw 24.68%
LecceDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 43.4%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.68%
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.079 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.84% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 31.91%

How you voted: Lecce vs Sassuolo

Lecce
29.5%
Draw
19.2%
Sassuolo
51.3%
78
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Lecce
0-1
Sassuolo
Thorstvedt (65')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Sassuolo
1-0
Lecce
Berardi (40')
Henrique (37'), Berardi (55'), Rogerio (66'), Frattesi (77'), Toljan (90+4')

Gonzalez (68')
> Preview
Jul 4, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 30
Sassuolo
4-2
Lecce
> Preview
Nov 3, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 11
Lecce
2-2
Sassuolo
Lapadula (18'), Falco (42')
Calderoni (60'), Shakhov (74')
Toljan (35'), Berardi (85')
Locatelli (37'), Toljan (45'), Obiang (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816
> Serie A Full Table


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