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Serie A
Lecce logo
Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
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Lecce
1 - 0
Genoa

Oudin (83')
Almqvist (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

De Winter (7'), Caricol (9')
Caricol (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Lecce
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Serie A

Genoa

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Napoli
Saturday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Genoa

 Despite never going five games unbeaten at the start of a Serie A season before, Lecce will fancy their chances of setting that new club record here. Genoa have also shown some very promising signs, especially in games against Lazio and Napoli, and should make this a close, competitive encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 49.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.

Result
LecceDrawGenoa
49.68% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 27.39% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 22.92% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 43.15% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.02% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)60.98% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)80.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.24% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)24.76% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.68% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)59.32% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.35% (0.028999999999996 0.03)42.65% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21% (0.026 0.03)79% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 49.68%
    Genoa 22.93%
    Draw 27.38%
LecceDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 14.74%
2-0 @ 10.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 4.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 49.68%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.55%
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 9% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 22.93%

How you voted: Lecce vs Genoa

Lecce
55.9%
Draw
23.5%
Genoa
20.6%
68
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 34
Genoa
2-1
Lecce
> Preview
Dec 8, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 15
Lecce
2-2
Genoa
Falco (60'), Tabanelli (70')
La Mantia (21'), Lucioni (45'), Tachtsidis (55'), Petriccione (65'), Tabanelli (71')
Pandev (31'), Criscito (45' pen.)
Pajac (14'), Agudelo (18'), Criscito (67'), Pandev (73')
Agudelo (69'), Pandev (77')
Aug 11, 2018 8.15pm
Third Round
Genoa
4-0
Lecce
Piatek (2', 9', 19', 37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816
> Serie A Full Table


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