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Serie A
Lecce logo
Serie A | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Napoli logo

Lecce
0 - 4
Napoli


Gallo (36'), Ramadani (57'), D'Aversa (67'), Gonzalez (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Skiri Oestigaard (16'), Osimhen (51'), Gaetano (88'), Politano (90+4' pen.)
Simeone (17'), Kvaratskhelia (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Lecce
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 4-1 Udinese
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-2 Napoli

 It may not be the most harmonious camp at Napoli right now, but last season's champions still possess plenty of punch in attack. Though Lecce have conceded just one goal at home so far, the Azzurri can leave Via del Mare clutching all three points; setting up their big European clash next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 50%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawNapoli
23.75% (0.288 0.29) 26.25% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 50% (-0.264 -0.26)
Both teams to score 46.97% (0.356 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.54% (0.314 0.31)56.46% (-0.315 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.53% (0.252 0.25)77.46% (-0.253 -0.25)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.72% (0.45 0.45)39.28% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.01% (0.415 0.41)75.98% (-0.416 -0.42)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35% (0.015000000000001 0.02)22.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.71% (0.021999999999998 0.02)56.29% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 23.75%
    Napoli 50%
    Draw 26.24%
LecceDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 5.77% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.89% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.8% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.33% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 23.75%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.9% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 13.21% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 9.81% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.86% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.54% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 50%

How you voted: Lecce vs Napoli

Lecce
2.3%
Draw
22.7%
Napoli
75.0%
44
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 29
Lecce
1-2
Napoli
Di Francesco (52')
Di Lorenzo (18'), Gallo (64' og.)
> Preview
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Napoli
1-1
Lecce
Elmas (27')
Colombo (31')
> Preview
Feb 9, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 23
Napoli
2-3
Lecce
Milik (48'), Callejon (90')
Koulibaly (37'), Zielinski (57'), Milik (73'), Rui (80'), Demme (84')
Lapadula (29', 61'), Mancosu (82')
Rispoli (66'), Vigorito (78'), Petriccione (85')
Sep 22, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 4
Lecce
1-4
Napoli
Mancosu (61' pen.)
Tachtsidis (37'), Gabriel (38'), Tabanelli (49')
Llorente (28', 82'), Insigne (40' pen.), Fabian (52')
Ghoulam (22'), Elmas (45'), Fabian (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816
> Serie A Full Table


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