Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
We said: Napoli 2-1 Lazio
The last league draw between these clubs came almost seven years ago, when Maurizio Sarri was in charge of Napoli. Given their sluggish start, Lazio would surely take a point from this high-profile clash at Stadio Maradona, but the hosts have started smoothly under new management and pose a greater goal threat.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61.18% . A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 17.22% .
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.9%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%) , while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (5.32%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood .
Result Napoli Draw Lazio 61.18% ( -0) 21.61% ( 0) 17.22%
Both teams to score 51.14% ( 0)
54.03% 45.97% ( -0)
31.72% 68.28% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 57.44% ( -0) 42.56%
59.83% ( 0) 40.17% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 23.19% 76.81% ( -0)
Napoli 61.16%
Lazio 17.22%
Draw 21.6%
Napoli Draw Lazio 1-0 @ 11.25% 2-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 6.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.37% 4-0 @ 3.37% 4-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-2 @ 1.4% 5-0 @ 1.3% 5-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.58% Total : 61.16% 1-1 @ 10.26% 0-0 @ 5.84% 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.6% 0-1 @ 5.32% 1-2 @ 4.68% 0-2 @ 2.43% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.22%
How you voted: Napoli vs Lazio
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