Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 65.14%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Lazio win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Lazio |
65.14% | 19.49% | 15.37% |
Both teams to score 54.16% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.08% | 39.91% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.72% | 62.28% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.5% | 11.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.62% | 36.38% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.2% | 38.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.46% | 75.53% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Lazio |
2-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 7.12% 4-0 @ 4.07% 4-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 3.37% 4-2 @ 1.82% 5-0 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.98% Total : 65.13% | 1-1 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 4.68% 0-0 @ 4.46% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.49% | 1-2 @ 4.33% 0-1 @ 4.23% 0-2 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.48% 1-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.98% Total : 15.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |