Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Villarreal has a probability of 35.09% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Villarreal win is 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.9%).
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Real Madrid |
35.09% ( 0.01) | 23.91% ( -0.01) | 41.01% |
Both teams to score 61.52% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.32% ( 0.07) | 40.68% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.94% ( 0.07) | 63.06% ( -0.07) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.98% ( 0.04) | 23.02% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.17% ( 0.06) | 56.83% ( -0.06) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.91% ( 0.03) | 20.09% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.67% ( 0.05) | 52.33% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Real Madrid |
2-1 @ 8.01% 1-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 35.09% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 41.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
9 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |