Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Lecce |
33.79% ( 0.11) | 27.66% ( 0) | 38.55% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 48.63% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.87% ( 0) | 57.13% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22% ( 0) | 78% ( -0) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.27% ( 0.07) | 31.73% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.85% ( 0.09) | 68.15% ( -0.09) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.24% ( -0.06) | 28.77% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.39% ( -0.08) | 64.61% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.78% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 38.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |