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Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
BMO Field
Charlotte FC

Toronto
1 - 0
Charlotte FC

Insigne (80')
Insigne (26'), Rosted (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vargas (60'), Arfield (82'), Dejaegere (86'), Kahlina (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: New England 0-1 Toronto
Sunday, March 3 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, March 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-0 Charlotte FC

 Although we have only seen a sample size of Toronto in 2024, they seem to be a lot more composed off the ball than we saw a year ago, and we believe the home crowd and their experienced attacking players will give them an edge this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Toronto in this match.

Result
TorontoDrawCharlotte FC
38.11% (0.457 0.46) 25.87% (0.112 0.11) 36.02% (-0.564 -0.56)
Both teams to score 54.65% (-0.412 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.38% (-0.511 -0.51)49.62% (0.513 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.36% (-0.459 -0.46)71.64% (0.462 0.46)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52% (0.013000000000005 0.01)25.48% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)60.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (-0.56500000000001 -0.57)26.66% (0.567 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (-0.754 -0.75)61.9% (0.756 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 38.11%
    Charlotte FC 36.02%
    Draw 25.86%
TorontoDrawCharlotte FC
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.196 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.11%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.94% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 36.02%

How you voted: Toronto vs Charlotte FC

Toronto
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Charlotte FC
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Charlotte FC
3-0
Toronto
Swiderski (8' pen., 45+2' pen.), Dejaegere (56')

Bradley (26'), Mbongue (45+6')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
Toronto
2-2
Charlotte FC
Bernardeschi (6'), Bradley (44')
Bender (51'), Jozwiak (70')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 1.10am
Charlotte FC
0-2
Toronto

Fuchs (10'), Jozwiak (83')
Insigne (49'), Bernardeschi (66')
> Preview
Jul 24, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
4-0
Charlotte FC
Osorio (4'), Bradley (10', 45+2'), Bernardeschi (31')
Kaye (67')

Fuchs (65')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
11Dallas113261216-411
12Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
13Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810
> Full Version


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