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Vizela
Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals
Feb 8, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Do Vizela
Benfica

Vizela
1 - 2
Benfica

Petrov (68')
Samu (36'), Costa (57'), Pereira (61'), Jardel (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cabral (34'), Mario (65')
di Maria (45'), Fernandez (56'), Otamendi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca de Portugal clash between Vizela and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vizela

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Vizela 0-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, February 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Benfica

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vizela 0-2 Benfica

 Vizela have struggled all season and are yet to face an opposition of Benfica's quality in this competition. The Eagles are in fine form and should extend their dominance against the Vizelenses on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 69.95%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 12.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Vizela win it was 2-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
VizelaDrawBenfica
12.85% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 17.19% (-0.026 -0.03) 69.95% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 55.64% (-0.136 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.33% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)34.67% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.38% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)56.62% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.06% (-0.154 -0.15)38.93% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.34% (-0.144 -0.14)75.66% (0.146 0.15)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)8.88% (-0.0050999999999988 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.61% (0.016000000000005 0.02)30.39% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Vizela 12.85%
    Benfica 69.94%
    Draw 17.19%
VizelaDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 3.73% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-0 @ 3.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 1.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.17% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 12.85%
1-1 @ 7.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.46% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 17.19%
0-2 @ 10.13% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 8.37% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 8.18% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 7.72%
0-4 @ 4.95% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 4.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.64% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-5 @ 2.4% (0.011 0.01)
1-5 @ 2.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 2.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
0-6 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
1-6 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 69.94%

How you voted: Vizela vs Benfica

Vizela
10.3%
Draw
5.2%
Benfica
84.5%
58
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 5
Vizela
1-2
Benfica
Samu (70' pen.)
Pereira (90+5'), Wilson (90+12')
Musa (9'), Di Maria (39')
Aursnes (67')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 22
Vizela
0-2
Benfica
Mario (38', 90+5')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 5
Benfica
2-1
Vizela
Neres (76'), Mario (90+12' pen.)
Otamendi (42'), Fernandez (51'), Mario (82'), Aursnes (84'), Ramos (89')
Ramos (90+1'), Mario (90+13')
Osmajic (20')
Guzzo (26'), Silva (45+1'), Mendez (86'), Rosa (90+9')
> Preview
Mar 11, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 26
Benfica
1-1
Vizela
Araujo (75')
Nunez (64'), (86')
Taarabt (7')
Cassiano (65')
Rashid (11'), Wilson (16'), Afonso (45'), Bondoso (78'), Mendez (90+3'), Claudemir (90+5')
> Preview
Oct 24, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 9
Vizela
0-1
Benfica

Mendez (41'), Aidara (44'), Afonso (58')
Silva (90+8')
Verissimo (68'), Radonjic (86'), Everton (90+6'), Jesus (90+8')
> Preview
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