MX23RW : Wednesday, May 29 20:46:49| >> :600:10737297:10737297:
Benfica
Taca da Liga | Semi-Finals
Jan 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa
Estoril

Benfica
1 - 1
Estoril

Otamendi (58')
Schmidt (45'), Mario (62'), Morato (77'), Gouveia (89'), Fernandes (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guitane (16')
Kokcu (45+2'), Pina (45+2'), Mangala (67')
Estoril win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca da Liga clash between Benfica and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Boavista
Friday, January 19 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, January 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 2-0 Estoril Praia

Estoril Praia are in for a tough 90 minutes against a high-flying Benfica side who have been near-perfect in recent weeks. Schmidt's men have been imperious in the history of this fixture and we fancy them to claim a comfortable victory once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.55%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 7.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.55%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
BenficaDrawEstoril Praia
80.55% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09) 12.21% (0.093 0.09) 7.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Both teams to score 52.6% (-0.466 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.52% (-0.526 -0.53)27.48% (0.527 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.9% (-0.663 -0.66)48.1% (0.666 0.67)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.79% (-0.114 -0.11)5.21% (0.1169 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.39% (-0.346 -0.35)20.61% (0.349 0.35)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.49% (-0.423 -0.42)44.51% (0.427 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.46% (-0.344 -0.34)80.54% (0.348 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 80.55%
    Estoril Praia 7.24%
    Draw 12.21%
BenficaDrawEstoril Praia
2-0 @ 10.12% (0.168 0.17)
3-0 @ 9.97% (0.093 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 8.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 7.36% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.85% (0.168 0.17)
4-1 @ 5.96% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-0 @ 4.35% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 3.52% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.41% (-0.054 -0.05)
6-0 @ 2.14% (-0.03 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.73% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.43% (-0.043 -0.04)
7-0 @ 0.9% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 80.55%
1-1 @ 5.55% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.32% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 12.21%
1-2 @ 2.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 1.88% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 7.24%

How you voted: Benfica vs Estoril

Benfica
90.9%
Draw
3.0%
Estoril Praia
6.1%
33
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 8
Estoril
0-1
Benfica

Cassiano (41'), Tavares (62'), Fernandes (71')
Silva (90+3')
Chiquinho (49'), Silva (61')
Apr 23, 2023 6pm
Nov 9, 2022 8.45pm
Fourth Round
Estoril
0-1
Benfica
Neres (66')
Nov 6, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 12
Estoril
1-5
Benfica
Serginho (90+1')
Musa (25'), Silva (30', 40'), Mario (67'), Ristic (89')
Mar 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 27
Benfica
2-1
Estoril
Silva (34'), Ramos (53')
Weigl (29')
Franco (90+3')
Acevedo (10'), Joaozinho (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!