Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 58.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Estoril Praia |
58.77% ( 0.02) | 22.28% ( 0.13) | 18.94% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 52.23% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.83% ( -0.75) | 46.17% ( 0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.54% ( -0.71) | 68.46% ( 0.71) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.63% ( -0.25) | 15.37% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.85% ( -0.47) | 44.15% ( 0.47) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.71% ( -0.59) | 38.29% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.95% ( -0.57) | 75.05% ( 0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.41% Total : 58.77% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.29% | 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.71% 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.36% Total : 18.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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