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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Rio Ave

Chaves
0 - 0
Rio Ave


Vitoria (43'), Fernandes (69')
FT

Graca (29'), Boateng (39'), Nobrega (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chaves 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, January 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 4-1 Rio Ave
Sunday, January 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 1-1 Rio Ave

Having both endured a disappointing first half of the season, Chaves and Rio Ave find themselves scrambling for points in the relegation zone and will head into the weekend in search of a pick-me-up. While Rio Ave are slight favourites, they have struggled to impose themselves away from home and we predict they will hold out for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ChavesDrawRio Ave
33.55% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 25.09%41.36% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.46% (0.012 0.01)46.53% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.19% (0.012 0.01)68.81% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.029000000000011 0.03)26.66% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (0.039000000000001 0.04)61.9% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.58% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)22.42% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.06% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)55.94% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 33.55%
    Rio Ave 41.36%
    Draw 25.08%
ChavesDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 7.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 7.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.3% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.55%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.83% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 6.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91%
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 41.36%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 1
Rio Ave
2-0
Chaves
Acevedo (64' pen.), Manuel (90+8')
Pantalon (40'), Joca (73'), Savio (90+3')

Langa (14'), Nogueira (20'), Sylla (62')
Langa (14')
Feb 26, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 22
Rio Ave
1-0
Chaves
Ronaldo (53')
Sep 5, 2022 9.15pm
Gameweek 5
Chaves
1-1
Rio Ave
Hernandez (32')
Acevedo (90')
Mar 8, 2019 8.30pm
Gameweek 25
Chaves
1-1
Rio Ave
Niltinho (82')
William (8'), Djavan (17'), Costinha (24'), Jefferson (35')
Semedo (27')
Augusto (8'), Galeno (33'), Tarantini (36'), Coentrao (40'), Leonardo (71'), Nadjack (72')
Augusto (22')
Oct 27, 2018 6pm
Gameweek 8
Rio Ave
1-0
Chaves
Galeno (66')
Lopes (77'), Galeno (93'), Coentrao (97')

Eustaquio (49'), Paulinho (58'), Perdigao (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123


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