Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 57.19%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Leeds United win it was 2-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Newcastle United |
20.85% ( 0.01) | 21.95% ( 0) | 57.19% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.51% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.99% ( 0.01) | 42.01% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.58% ( 0.01) | 64.41% ( -0.01) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.08% ( 0.02) | 33.92% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.4% ( 0.02) | 70.59% ( -0.02) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.52% ( -0) | 14.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.54% ( -0) | 42.45% |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-1 @ 5.55% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.31% 2-0 @ 2.87% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 20.85% | 1-1 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.39% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.91% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.09% 0-4 @ 2.85% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.67% 1-5 @ 1.19% 0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 57.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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