Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 17.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Leeds United |
17.58% | 21.45% | 60.98% |
Both teams to score 52.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.33% | 44.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.97% | 67.03% |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.04% | 38.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.32% | 75.68% |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.83% | 14.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.15% | 41.85% |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 5.2% 2-1 @ 4.79% 2-0 @ 2.45% 3-1 @ 1.51% 3-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.15% Total : 17.58% | 1-1 @ 10.16% 0-0 @ 5.52% 2-2 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.44% | 0-1 @ 10.78% 0-2 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-3 @ 6.87% 1-3 @ 6.47% 0-4 @ 3.36% 1-4 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 3.05% 2-4 @ 1.49% 0-5 @ 1.31% 1-5 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.77% Total : 60.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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