Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 59.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 18.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Leeds United |
59.72% ( -0.31) | 21.82% ( 0.12) | 18.46% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 52.88% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.13% ( -0.21) | 44.87% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.78% ( -0.2) | 67.22% ( 0.2) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.37% ( -0.17) | 14.62% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.26% ( -0.32) | 42.74% ( 0.32) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.93% ( 0.09) | 38.06% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.17% ( 0.09) | 74.83% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 59.71% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.81% | 0-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |