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EFL Cup
Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
Crystal Palace logo

Newcastle
0 - 0
Crystal Palace


Anderson (39')
FT

Milivojevic (42'), Hughes (90+2')
Newcastle win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United overcome fellow Premier League side Crystal Palace on penalties to advance to the fourth round of the EFL Cup.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Southampton 1-4 Newcastle
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League

Crystal Palace

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: West Ham 1-2 Crystal Palace
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
53.73% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15) 23.53% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 22.74% (0.156 0.16)
Both teams to score 53.93% (0.206 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.3% (0.18 0.18)46.7% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.04% (0.17 0.17)68.96% (-0.167 -0.17)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.69% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)17.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.34% (0.018999999999998 0.02)47.66% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (0.242 0.24)34.78% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (0.256 0.26)71.51% (-0.253 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 53.72%
    Crystal Palace 22.74%
    Draw 23.53%
Newcastle UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.26% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.72%
3-0 @ 5.41% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 53.72%
1-1 @ 11.15%
0-0 @ 6.02% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.89% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 22.74%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace

Newcastle United
86.2%
Draw
7.6%
Crystal Palace
6.2%
145
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Newcastle
0-0
Crystal Palace

Longstaff (15'), Fraser (67')

Ward (56'), Doucoure (90+6')
Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm
Newcastle
1-0
Crystal Palace
Almiron (32')
Almiron (33')

Gallagher (45+2')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-1
Newcastle
Benteke (56')
Andersen (13'), Ward (27'), Benteke (89')
Wilson (65')
Wilson (27'), Lascelles (59'), Joelinton (90+2'), Ritchie (90+4')
Feb 2, 2021 8.15pm
Newcastle
1-2
Crystal Palace
Shelvey (2')
Shelvey (29')
Riedewald (21'), Cahill (25')
Clyne (51'), Milivojevic (72'), Ayew (90+3')
Nov 27, 2020 8pm
Crystal Palace
0-2
Newcastle

Dann (77'), Schlupp (90+3')
Wilson (88'), Joelinton (89')
Fernandez (17'), Longstaff (60')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516
> Premier League Full Table


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