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La Liga
Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Espanyol logo

Almeria
3 - 1
Espanyol

Suarez Charris (21'), Baptistao (61'), Portillo (77')
Robertone (41'), Portillo (78'), Eguaras (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Joselu (90+3')
Gil (44'), Souza (55'), Puado (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Valencia 2-2 Almeria
Monday, January 23 at 8pm in La Liga

Espanyol

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Espanyol 1-0 Betis
Saturday, January 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-1 Espanyol

 Espanyol will enter this match full of confidence, but they have only won twice on their travels in the league this season, while Almeria have lost only three of their nine La Liga games at home. Both managers would likely accept a point if it were offered ahead of kickoff, and we have settled on a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawEspanyol
37.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 27.87% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 34.37% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.09% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)57.84% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)78.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)29.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.39% (0.010999999999996 0.01)65.61% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.29% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)31.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.87% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)68.13% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 37.76%
    Espanyol 34.37%
    Draw 27.87%
AlmeriaDrawEspanyol
1-0 @ 11.42%
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 37.76%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.38% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.87%
0-1 @ 10.77%
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 34.37%

How you voted: Almeria vs Espanyol

Almeria
22.7%
Draw
38.7%
Espanyol
38.7%
119
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2021 8pm
Almeria
1-1
Espanyol
Sadiq (50')
Makaridze (71')
Dimata (58')
Darder (74')
Dec 20, 2020 3pm
Espanyol
2-1
Almeria
De Tomas (9', 84' pen.)
Darder (25'), Lopez (69')
Corpas (51' pen.)
Balliu (44'), Corpas (83'), Jose (90+2')
Jan 25, 2015 6pm
Espanyol
3-0
Almeria
Stuani (37', 40'), Caicedo (74')
Gonzalez (51'), Canas (58')

Partey (39')
> Match Report
Aug 23, 2014 10pm
Almeria
1-1
Espanyol
Soriano (52')
Trujillo (18'), Antonio Rabasco (50'), Partey (83')
Garcia (94')
Arbilla (18'), Garcia (65'), Sanchez (88')
Arbilla (33')
> Match Report
Apr 27, 2014 11am
Espanyol
1-2
Almeria
Stuani (42')
Alvarez (16'), Stuani (29'), Sanchez (71'), Garcia (80')
Stuani (49'), Lopez (90')
Velez (70'), Suso (73')
Dubarbier (33'), Corona (51'), Trujillo (87')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2Barcelona33227468392973
3GironaGirona33225669402971
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia33138123738-147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe331013104145-443
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
13Sevilla33911134246-438
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514
> La Liga Full Table


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