Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Almeria |
45.57% ( 1.05) | 26.29% ( -0.69) | 28.14% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 50.47% ( 1.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.29% ( 2.44) | 53.71% ( -2.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.8% ( 2.02) | 75.19% ( -2.02) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.49% ( 1.58) | 23.51% ( -1.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.45% ( 2.24) | 57.54% ( -2.24) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.99% ( 1.02) | 34.01% ( -1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.31% ( 1.08) | 70.69% ( -1.08) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Almeria |
1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.58) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.77% Total : 45.56% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 8% ( -0.79) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.25) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.6) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.3% Total : 28.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |