La Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia2 - 2Almeria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Gijon 0-4 Valencia
Wednesday, January 18 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Wednesday, January 18 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Almeria 1-1 Atletico
Sunday, January 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, January 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga
We said: Valencia 2-1 Almeria
Almeria have the worst away record in La Liga this season, picking up just two points from eight matches. Valencia have lost four of their nine league fixtures at Mestalla, but we are just siding with Los Che in this encounter, backing Gattuso's side to pick up an important three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 19.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Almeria |
56.33% ( 0.57) | 23.85% ( -0.01) | 19.82% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 48.84% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
