La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 31, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Villarreal2 - 1Valencia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: CD Guijuelo 1-2 Villarreal
Tuesday, December 20 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Tuesday, December 20 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
We said: Villarreal 1-1 Valencia
As mentioned, there has not been a draw between these two sides since September 2018, with each of the last seven La Liga meetings producing a winner. However, we are struggling to separate them here, as Valencia will be full of confidence following their success over Real Betis before the campaign was halted. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 19.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Valencia |
57.02% ( -0.74) | 23.26% ( 0.12) | 19.72% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 50.46% ( 0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
