Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 12.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.79%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Espanyol |
67.12% ( -0.02) | 20.7% ( 0.01) | 12.18% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 41.81% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.08% ( -0.02) | 51.92% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.33% ( -0.02) | 73.67% ( 0.02) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.4% ( -0.01) | 14.6% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.31% ( -0.03) | 42.69% ( 0.03) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.95% ( 0.01) | 51.05% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.63% ( 0) | 85.37% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 14.33% 2-0 @ 13.79% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.26% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 67.1% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.12% Other @ 0.49% Total : 20.7% | 0-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 12.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |