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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Rayo Vallecano logo

Atletico
1 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Morata (20')
Savic (47'), Niguez (88'), Gimenez (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Falcao (90+2' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Getafe
Friday, October 14 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Rayo Vallecano

Rayo drew at Barcelona earlier this season and are certainly capable of picking up a positive result in this match, but it is always difficult to back against Atletico at Wanda Metropolitano, and we are expecting the Red and Whites to secure all three points courtesy of a 2-0 scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 14.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.97%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawRayo Vallecano
63.39% (0.941 0.94) 22.22% (-0.427 -0.43) 14.4% (-0.513 -0.51)
Both teams to score 43.24% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.7% (0.686 0.69)53.3% (-0.683 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.15% (0.58 0.58)74.85% (-0.577 -0.58)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.73% (0.56099999999999 0.56)16.27% (-0.559 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.18% (1.009 1.01)45.82% (-1.005 -1.01)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.64% (-0.337 -0.34)48.36% (0.339 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.51% (-0.245 -0.25)83.5% (0.24600000000001 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 63.38%
    Rayo Vallecano 14.4%
    Draw 22.22%
Atletico MadridDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 14.28% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 12.97% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.85% (0.229 0.23)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.113 0.11)
4-0 @ 3.56% (0.168 0.17)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.29% (0.084 0.08)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 63.38%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 7.87% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.22%
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-2 @ 3.77% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.08% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-3 @ 0.91% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 14.4%

How you voted: Atletico vs Rayo Vallecano

Atletico Madrid
91.1%
Draw
5.7%
Rayo Vallecano
3.2%
158
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Atletico

Suarez (30'), Comesana (42'), Trejo (65')
Koke (49')
Lodi (20'), Kondogbia (74'), Koke (78'), Oblak (81'), Savic (85')
Correa (85')
Jan 2, 2022 3.15pm
Atletico
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Correa (28', 53')
Simeone (7'), Suarez (26'), Gimenez (63'), De Paul (73')
Feb 16, 2019 3.15pm
Aug 25, 2018 7.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid36296183226193
2Barcelona36247574433179
3GironaGirona36236775453075
4Atletico MadridAtletico36234967392873
5Athletic Bilbao361711858372162
6Real Sociedad361512949371257
7Real BetisBetis36141484843556
8Villarreal36149136060051
9Valencia36139143740-348
10Getafe361013134151-1043
11AlavesAlaves36119163445-1142
12Sevilla361011154750-341
13Osasuna36118174054-1441
14Las PalmasLas Palmas36108183246-1438
15Rayo Vallecano36814142944-1538
16Celta Vigo36910174254-1237
17Mallorca36715142941-1236
18CadizCadiz36614162549-2432
RGranada3649233770-3321
RAlmeria36211233572-3717


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