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Athletic Bilbao logo
La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Atletico Madrid logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Atletico

FT(HT: 0-0)
Griezmann (47')
Simeone (11'), Gimenez (36'), Morata (57'), Oblak (68'), Niguez (85'), Witsel (90+2'), Grbic (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 0-0 Brugge
Wednesday, October 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Atletico Madrid

 Athletic will certainly be the fresher of the two sides on Saturday, and their form this season has been very impressive. Atletico are always difficult to back against due to their mentality, though, and we have a feeling that a tight match at San Mames will end in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
42.65% (0.065000000000005 0.07) 28.35% (0.00099999999999767 0) 29.01% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 45.13% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.22% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)60.77% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.17% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)80.82% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.79% (0.024000000000001 0.02)28.21% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.09% (0.030000000000001 0.03)63.91% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.86% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)37.13% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.07% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)73.92% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 42.64%
    Atletico Madrid 29%
    Draw 28.34%
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 13.25% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.39% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.31% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 3.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 42.64%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 10.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.34%
0-1 @ 10.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 29%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico

Athletic Bilbao
30.1%
Draw
29.0%
Atletico Madrid
41.0%
183
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Atletico
Hermoso (8' og.), Williams (56' pen.)
Garcia (25'), Williams (68'), Berenguer (90+1')

Hermoso (1'), Mandava (18'), Lodi (71')
Jan 13, 2022 7pm
Atletico
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Simeone (62' og.)
Vrsaljko (90+1')
Gimenez (90+3')
Alvarez (77'), Williams (81')
Martinez (83'), Vesga (90'), Williams (90+1')
Sep 18, 2021 3.15pm
Atletico
0-0
Athletic Bilbao

Kondogbia (36'), Felix (78'), Savic (79'), Cunha (90'), Gimenez (90+7')
Felix (78')

Garcia (30'), Williams Arthuer (82')
Apr 25, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Atletico
Berenguer (8'), Martinez (86')
Sancet (44'), Vencedor (61'), Garcia (66'), Lopez (90+2')
Savic (77')
Llorente (11'), Torreira (81')
Mar 10, 2021 6pm
Atletico
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Llorente (45+2'), Suarez (51' pen.)
Felipe (43'), Lodi (90+4')
Muniain (21')
de Marcos (38'), Vesga (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid36296183226193
2Barcelona36247574433179
3GironaGirona36236775453075
4Atletico MadridAtletico36234967392873
5Athletic Bilbao361711858372162
6Real Sociedad361512949371257
7Real BetisBetis36141484843556
8Villarreal36149136060051
9Valencia36139143740-348
10Getafe361013134151-1043
11AlavesAlaves36119163445-1142
12Sevilla361011154750-341
13Osasuna36118174054-1441
14Las PalmasLas Palmas36108183246-1438
15Rayo Vallecano36814142944-1538
16Celta Vigo36910174254-1237
17Mallorca36715142941-1236
18CadizCadiz36614162549-2432
RGranada3649233770-3321
RAlmeria36211233572-3717
> La Liga Full Table


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