Athletic Bilbao1 - 0Espanyol
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, January 14 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, January 15 at 1pm in La Liga
We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Espanyol
Fired up by derby failure at the weekend, Athletic can take their frustration out on an Espanyol side distracted by a relegation battle and proceed to the quarter-finals. Home advantage could be the decisive factor, as the Basque club generally raise their game at San Mames. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 58.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Espanyol |
58.41% ( -0.51) | 23.92% ( 0.29) | 17.67% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 45.15% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
