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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 75.09%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 8.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.04%) and 3-0 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
75.09% ( -0.22) | 15.99% ( 0.11) | 8.92% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 45.19% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.26% ( -0.19) | 40.74% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.88% ( -0.19) | 63.12% ( 0.19) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.77% ( -0.1) | 9.23% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.78% ( -0.24) | 31.22% ( 0.23) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.78% ( 0.1) | 50.22% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.19% ( 0.07) | 84.81% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-0 @ 13.15% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.52% Total : 75.08% | 1-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.63% Total : 15.99% | 0-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 8.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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