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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 64.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 16.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
64.32% ( 0.26) | 19.43% ( -0.03) | 16.25% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 56.54% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.17% ( -0.31) | 37.83% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.92% ( -0.33) | 60.08% ( 0.33) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.89% ( -0.02) | 11.11% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.47% ( -0.05) | 35.53% ( 0.05) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.6% ( -0.47) | 36.4% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.82% ( -0.48) | 73.18% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.4% Total : 64.32% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.43% | 1-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.35% Total : 16.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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