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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 62.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 18.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 1-0 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | FC Utrecht |
62.45% ( 0.55) | 19.52% ( -0.13) | 18.03% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 60.18% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.11% ( -0.11) | 34.89% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.13% ( -0.12) | 56.87% ( 0.12) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.26% ( 0.11) | 10.74% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.3% ( 0.24) | 34.7% ( -0.24) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.42% ( -0.5) | 32.58% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.88% ( -0.57) | 69.12% ( 0.57) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.98% Total : 62.45% | 1-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.52% | 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.12% Total : 18.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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